Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 2.517339 2.638487 2.764888 2.907078 3.063150 3.229907 3.422436
2025-11-23 2.321630 2.492272 2.678454 2.898443 3.153659 3.443478 3.802062
2025-11-30 2.188647 2.393579 2.625232 2.910247 3.257017 3.673077 4.223096
2025-12-07 2.068193 2.294258 2.556924 2.890755 3.313316 3.845111 4.592084
2025-12-14 1.946776 2.182163 2.461286 2.824868 3.299528 3.920419 4.838539
2025-12-21 1.873787 2.121559 2.421257 2.821317 3.360339 4.094740 5.244043
2025-12-28 1.834356 2.098103 2.423651 2.869447 3.490710 4.376244 5.856630
2026-01-04 1.769432 2.038187 2.374662 2.843900 3.514182 4.502722 6.244065
2026-01-11 1.728613 2.006070 2.358728 2.860323 3.596614 4.725388 6.841422
2026-01-18 1.699713 1.987236 2.358275 2.896731 3.709926 5.009717 7.624873
2026-01-25 1.650616 1.939412 2.315905 2.869803 3.722976 5.127876 8.108376
2026-02-01 1.598157 1.884882 2.261604 2.821738 3.697982 5.175736 8.452443
2026-02-08 1.548845 1.834959 2.214398 2.785835 3.696858 5.279813 8.997577
2026-02-15 1.509150 1.796670 2.181870 2.770211 3.728292 5.451035 9.788000
2026-02-22 1.479415 1.770667 2.165241 2.777405 3.798474 5.709175 10.951067
2026-03-01 1.443519 1.734767 2.132742 2.757756 3.820270 5.874258 11.946476
2026-03-08 1.397535 1.683355 2.075807 2.696429 3.763058 5.864681 12.369862
2026-03-15 1.371324 1.658465 2.056120 2.692782 3.808755 6.086237 13.794882
2026-03-22 1.360227 1.654140 2.065989 2.736783 3.945859 6.543657 16.694653
2026-03-29 1.331340 1.623668 2.035827 2.713247 3.952737 6.693071 18.380385
2026-04-05 1.314350 1.609490 2.029273 2.728277 4.035546 7.052116 21.907996
2026-04-12 1.302970 1.602858 2.033624 2.761650 4.158213 7.551299 27.939398
2026-04-19 1.277699 1.575387 2.005129 2.736944 4.159344 7.711601 31.802539